Why it’s wise not to bet yet on Spencer Rattler for Heisman Trophy

When handicapping the school soccer preseason, the primary vacation spot for my eyes is the Heisman Trophy futures board. It is residence to the longest odds and the place essentially the most choices are actually in play.

That’s not the case for the nationwide championship. Alabama, Clemson and Ohio State hover within the 4/1 vary, and even longer photographs like Oklahoma and Georgia don’t exceed 7/1.

The odds for the nationwide championship are simply reminders that the deck is stacked in favor of the Power 5 faculties. That provides bookmakers the higher hand for most school soccer futures. Preseason Heisman futures, nonetheless, considerably reduce that energy.

Undoubtedly, the following Heisman winner will come from a present Power 5 college, simply as everybody earlier than him since Andre Ware in 1989 and Ty Detmer in 1990. Still, this expansive board permits bettors a official alternative to scan up and down to establish plenty of potential performs.

This received’t be primarily based on making statistical projections for 12 regular-season video games, however as a substitute can be about breaking down all of the elements wanted to acquire invaluable media consideration, which fuels this reputation contest.

A brand new dynamic is in play this season: The capacity for gamers to be compensated for using their title, picture and likeness. Previously, Heisman campaigns have been spurred by sports activities data administrators who creatively developed advertising and marketing methods to acquire consideration and safe votes.

Spencer RattlerAP

Then got here the cable sports activities tv explosion, with each recreation or spotlight mainly a nationally televised industrial for the highest candidates. Now we want to see what occurs with the rise of sponsored social media posts driving publicity.

Here is an early take a look at Oklahoma quarterback Spencer Rattler, the Heisman favourite at 15/2. In Monday’s Bet Smart, we’ll study among the different prime contenders and some longer photographs.

From a qualitative standpoint, Rattler has each cause to be the highest candidate. His title alone will draw consideration, as will the comparisons to Patrick Mahomes. He comes into 2021 on a top-five squad that ought to contend for the nationwide championship.

Somewhere in that 15/2 is a built-in Lincoln Riley tax, as a result of the preseason tales concerning the returning QB will probably embrace references to his coach’s Heisman success with Baker Mayfield and Kyler Murray.

Riley is 0-3 within the College Football Playoff, however that performs no function in Heisman voting.

Rattler has comparatively few obstacles in his method to a Heisman proper now, however 15/2 simply isn’t price tying up a portion of a school soccer bankroll earlier than any video games are performed. Last 12 months’s main candidates, Trevor Lawrence and Justin Fields, have been about 4/1 earlier than the season started, however COVID-19 altered their odds.

Lawrence and Fields acquired as excessive as 12/1 and 25/1, respectively, by Week 15, concerning the time DeVonta Smith was 50/1, in accordance to SportsOddsHistory.com.

Pandemic points could also be diminished, however what occurred final 12 months demonstrates there must be little rush to bet the highest candidate too early when different variables inevitably will come up.

The greatest time to tackle a Rattler bet is in early October after highway video games at Kansas State and Texas. One common recreation will probably bump up his odds to a greater value earlier than the Baylor and Iowa State video games in mid-November, which might put him again on monitor.


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